Employment in New Zealand grew by only 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011, while the unemployment rate unexpected dropped by 0.3 percent to 6.3 percent. After an initial surge, the NZ dollar flattened against the U.S. dollar.
THE TAKEAWAY: [Employment in New Zealand grows by 0.1% in Q4 2011] > [Unemployment drops by 0.3% to 6.3%] > [NZD neutral]
Employment grew by only 0.1 percent in the last quarter of 2011, after expanding by 0.2 percent during the third quarter. This figure fell short of expectations, as the median forecast according to a Bloomberg News survey showed an expected quarterly rise of 0.4 percent. Employment rose by 1.6 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, though this too, fell short of the expected 1.9 percent growth.
On the other hand, the unemployment rate in the fourth quarter unexpectedly dropped by 0.3 percent to 6.3 percent, beating forecasts for a 6.5 percent result.
NZD/USD 1-minute Chart: February 8, 2012
Chart created using Strategy Trader– Prepared by Tzu-Wen Chen
In the minutes immediately after the employment change data release, the New Zealand dollar spiked against the U.S. dollar, jumping 24 basis points to 0.8375. However, the markets quickly corrected to levels similar to those seen before the data release, as investors took on a neutral stance on the latest data. A stronger job growth of 0.4 percent or higher would likely have bolstered the NZD as this would have raised prospects for a rate hike.
--- Written by Tzu-Wen Chen DailyFX Research
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